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Bill Owens (left) and Matt Doheny at the YNN NY21 Candidate Debate. Photo: Amanda Morrison, Watertown Daily Times provided courtesy YNN
Bill Owens (left) and Matt Doheny at the YNN NY21 Candidate Debate. Photo: Amanda Morrison, Watertown Daily Times provided courtesy YNN

NY21: Owens leads Doheny by one point, Siena poll finds

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A new poll released Thursday morning from Siena Research Institute shows a massive shift of support away from Democrat Bill Owens.

According to the survey, Matt Doheny, the Republican challenger from Watertown, now trails the incumbent from Plattsburgh by just one point.

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Reported by

Brian Mann
Adirondack Bureau Chief

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Hear Brian Mann's conversation with Siena Pollster Steven Greenberg.

"Doheny now has a tiny two point lead among independent voters after having previously trailed Owens among independents by 30 points," Siena found.

Siena found that overall, Owens has seen his support slip from 49 percent — a safe number for an incumbent — to just 44 percent. 

According to the report, four percent of North Country voters are still leaning toward Donald Hassig, the Green Party candidate, and nine percent of "likely voters" remain undecided.

"Owens is no stranger to close races, having won two nail-biting elections with less than 50 percent of the vote. Well, here we go again," said Siena pollster Steven Greenberg in a statement.

Owens remains viable in the 21st District race, despite a strong voter enrollment advantage for the GOP, because roughly one in five Republicans are still choosing him over Doheny.

The two men are also splitting independents evenly. 

Doheny's strongest support is in the southeastern chunk of the newly shaped district, where he leads Owens by a 46 percent to 36 percent margin.

Owens leads by significant margins on his home turf — the northeastern region of the North Country — where the Democrat holds a 53 percent-37 percent advantage.

In the Watertown area, Owens holds a slight lead of 47 percent to 44 percent.

One side note: If Hassig's third-party bid continues to hold strong at four percent, his Green Party bid could tip enough votes away from the Democrat and the republican to affect the race.

 

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